Crimea is the most serious potential conflict in postrevolutionary Ukraine. The crisis could lead to a hot war in Ukraine and dramatically increase tensions between Russia and the West—no effort should be spared to avert this scenario.
Russia is demanding to be treated as an equal partner in its relationship with the EU, but Brussels had long ignored this shift, and EU-Russian relations have stagnated as a result. It is time for a fundamental rethink of the EU’s Russia policy.
The debate over the long-term direction of the European political experiment will take center stage in 2014.
Any peaceful solution for Syria will hinge on a compromise that brings a transitional government to Damascus.
In the eyes of the West, Ankara fluctuates on international issues and displays a lack of consistency in dealing with its allies. Why is Turkey’s foreign policy so erratic?
The Syrian war is being played out in Moscow, Tehran, and Washington. To achieve further progress, the three capitals cannot avoid working together on a diplomatic solution.
For Turkey, the U.S.-Russian agreement on Syria’s chemical weapons is at best incomplete and at worst a distraction from the real political goal: removing Assad from power.
Despite areas of potential friction between Berlin and Washington, the fruitful transatlantic relationship of the last seventy years looks set to continue after Germany’s election.
Will the next German government finally assume the role of Europe’s political leader? Substantial change in Germany’s approach is unlikely—unless the euro crisis gets even worse.
Warsaw wants more of the same from Berlin. But the depth of Polish-German relations will depend on Germany maintaining its role as the guardian of cohesion in the EU.
Germany will take a low-cost, low-risk approach to the management of international peace and security no matter who governs the country.
Misunderstandings surrounding the Meseberg Memorandum on Transdniestria and EU-Russian security cooperation testify to the difficulties of Russian-Western communication.
The Euro-Atlantic security community is the most successful to date. But can it rise to the challenge of integrating post-Soviet nations—perhaps even Russia itself?
Germany is the EU’s indispensable power, and an assertive Chancellor Merkel is getting tough with almost everyone. But Berlin is still not thinking strategically.
The issue of urban regeneration in Turkey has morphed into a nationwide political problem. It is now the symbol of the country’s contested style of democratic management.
The EU has the opportunity to forge a more effective policy in the Eastern Partnership region. Now it needs to harness the courage and vision to make a real difference.
Embroiled in the spillover from the Syrian conflict, Jordan faces an enormous challenge. The country must focus on political and economic reforms, and needs outside help, too.
Turkey and the United States should promote a regional initiative on Syria that includes Iran if they are to prevent the crisis from further undermining regional stability.
The permanent members of the UN Security Council must work together to transform the fragile U.S.-Russian step toward peace in Syria into a full agreement.
The Dutch have not suddenly become Euroskeptics. The Netherlands has always been reserved toward Europe. It has just managed, for a long time, to hide it.