Germany, the EU, and Turkey have a lot at stake in current economic, humanitarian, and rule-of-law crisis. Berlin wants to help, but not at any price.
Turkey crucially needs EU markets, funds, and investment to prosper. This in turn requires the rule of law, not the rule of the arbitrary. Choices will have to be made in Ankara.
The Trump administration’s sanctions on Turkey just might be the catalyst to shift Europe’s relations with Ankara.
Turkey’s resolve to acquire the Russian strategic defensive weapon system S-400 Triumf raises the prospect of a severe damage to NATO and, by extension, to transatlantic security.
The troubles of the Turkish lira have deep roots. Turkey’s president has driven the economy into a narrow, dead-end alley.
Erdogan’s new partner in parliament—the ultranationalist MHP—will make Ankara a more belligerent and intransigent ally.
With his reelection as president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan has become Turkey’s most powerful leader since World War II. However, two key considerations will constrain how Erdogan uses his prerogatives.
The EU should continue to increase its support to human rights defenders, independent media and civil society. This is probably an even more arduous task than before the election.
The stakes are just so high: more centralization of political power, dealing with a polarized society, or even shifting Turkey’s direction to the West.
For the citizens of Turkey, the upcoming elections boil down to a choice between a one-man-rule system with no checks and balances and a possible return to a more liberal and parliamentary system of governance.