The Turkish government’s crackdown on opponents since the July 15 coup attempt has probably buried the country’s EU accession framework for good.
Brussels and Ankara have a long to-do list ahead of them. But domestic politics on both sides could interfere with this schedule.
Turkey’s drift away from the West has not been one-sided; Europe and the United States share the blame.
The Russian and Turkish presidents are more comfortable with a world in which alliances are transient and traditional great powers set the agenda.
Despite recent—and harsh—rhetoric, one hopes that Brussels and Ankara find the common ground to work on their many mutual interests.
Turkey wants to become a major regional energy hub. The EU should be cautious of Ankara’s potential role as a gatekeeper of gas supplies to the European market.
Washington and Brussels need to rebuild trust with Turkey. That is the only way to counter the country’s swelling anti-Americanism and alienation from the West.
There is an acute need for a new European narrative for Turkey. Such a framework should create a new platform of cooperation and complement the country’s EU accession path.
While the causes of Turkey’s failed coup remain shrouded in mystery, Ankara’s policy shift toward Moscow could have played a role.
At a meeting in Saint Petersburg between the Russian and Turkish presidents, an opportunistic convergence of minds could emerge between the two leaders.