Russia has been conducting troop exercises on Ukraine’s border. But an invasion would not trigger a NATO military response—and probably not even strong economic sanctions.
Russia’s annexation of Crimea and possible future incursions into eastern Ukraine could reshape the geopolitical map of Europe and derail cooperation between Moscow and the West for years to come.
During his trip to Europe, U.S. President Barack Obama has tried to rally his European counterparts to form a united front against Moscow’s annexation of Crimea.
Though a trade war with Russia would certainly be costly for the EU, the long-term toll on Europe will be even greater if the annexation of Crimea is left unchecked.
The Syrian crisis is entering its fourth year without a clear resolution in sight. The West should look beyond the Geneva II conference and implement a comprehensive strategy to push the conflict toward a settlement.
The crisis in Crimea is perhaps the most dangerous point in Europe’s history since the end of the cold war. It is likely to alter fundamentally relations between Russia and the West and lead to changes in the global power balance.
Carnegie was on the ground at the 50th annual Munich Security Conference to give readers exclusive access to the debates and discussions as they unfolded.
Without a big push by Berlin, Paris, or London to tackle strategy, threats, and the future of the transatlantic relationship, a strong European foreign policy will remain elusive.
The debate over the long-term direction of the European political experiment will take center stage in 2014.
At December’s European Council summit, European defense topped the agenda for EU leaders. One key issue under discussion was pooling and sharing of military capabilities.