During his news conference with the Russian President Vladimir Putin, the president of the United States doubled down on his determination to completely change the language and narrative of the post-1945 world order.
It was part of a worrying trend. In President Trump’s recent tweets and speeches, there is no mention of multilateralism. No mention of shared values. No mention of solidarity. No mention of historical commitments. No mention of the ideals of the West.
Trump has walked away from the Paris climate change accord and discarded important trade deals such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership. He has turned his back on the Iran nuclear deal. And he wants to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) forged between the United States, Canada and Mexico.
On values, Trump has been highly selective. He has ignored violations of human rights in Russia, China, Turkey and North Korea. But Iran and Cuba have been in his sights. That’s because he didn’t like the deals struck with these nations by his predecessor.
On solidarity with the European Union, he has set out to divide, not unify. He has lambasted German Chancellor Angela Merkel and British Prime Minister Theresa May. During last week’s NATO summit, Trump dumbfounded his critics when he accused Germany of being controlled by Russia.
As for May, on the very day he began his visit to Britain, he ruled out any bilateral trade deal with Britain because May had already set out her guidelines for a deal with the E.U. What a way to weaken May and give the advantage to the pro-Brexit camp. Trump has consistently praised Brexit, clearly implying that it would weaken if not break up the E.U. True to form, he has had only praise for the populist leaders in Hungary and Poland precisely because they weaken European solidarity and they conform to Trump’s anti-immigrant views.
On collective defense, during the NATO summit Trump spent most of the time haranguing the other 28 member states. Money was the issue, not protecting shared values; not projecting security; not deepening solidarity in an alliance that the United States founded.
But for Trump, the past gets in the way. The past seems irrelevant to Trump.
Instead, Trump’s narrative is about “getting along” with different leaders. Human rights, values, the cumbersome structure of multilateral organizations get in the way. For Trump, it’s about winners and losers. As he said during his news conference just after the NATO summit ended, Putin is “a competitor.”
This is Trumpian disingenuous manipulation of a high order.
Germany is a competitor because it makes good cars that Americans like to buy, runs a trade surplus, and is the strongest country in Europe, with a leader who doesn’t flatter Trump. France and other European countries are competitors, too.
But the difference is that Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron speak about values, about democracy, about solidarity, about the rules of the international system. These rules were embedded in the post-1945 institutions that the United States and Western Europe built together. They are built on consensus, on compromises, on dialogue. For Trump, they are a hindrance.
That is why meeting nondemocratic leaders is so much easier for Trump. The scripts are value-free and past-free. The space for competition without rules is wide open. The Europeans had better get used to it.
The big question is how the Europeans can respond. They should start by quickly forging trade deals with like-minded nations — Australia, New Zealand and countries in Africa and South America. Those deals are about strengthening an international rules-based system. The E.U. recently clinched deals with Japan and Canada, countries that Trump is arguing with over trade and other foreign policy issues.
Second, the Europeans should have no illusions about Trump’s commitment to NATO. “It is not written in stone that the trans-Atlantic bond will survive forever,” NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said recently.
In the meantime, Europeans should stop deluding themselves. They need their own strong security and defense policy. They have the means and the money. What they lack is the political will.
In the meantime, Putin can only delight in how Trump is doing the Kremlin’s work by sowing discord in the E.U. and NATO. Who would have imagined that an American president would have done Russia’s bidding?
Comments(3)
It is not just the electorate split at 50% in diametrically opposed positions on almost anything, it is also everything and everybody else. NAFTA is the best example. Conceptually Friedman at his best it is now a cornerstone of stability. The middle classes of Mexico and US are expected to celebrate it rapturously, as a celebration of their continuous advancement, year after year. The economic parameters for the Mexico middle class show a different story, AMLO’s campaign and election victory prove it; for the US, would the meritocrats who negotiated it for eternity stroll at night in Detroit, once the wealthiest city in the world? In general, is the Monroe doctrine space a success story, after all the same principles were at work there? The Paris Agreement is a paltry attempt to delay the consequences of overpopulation. A simple analysis of demographics from Bulgaria to Sahel and the space of the former British Raj shows that unfortunately it is too little, too late, and unrelated. The author is correct about the EU, and ideally could have emphasized that right after the creation of NATO an US-Europe integration should have been pursued aggressively, with the US as the attracting center. There was a time when solid economists were ruling the discipline, then the astute entertainers took over, too late now. On cars, the main question should be: why didn’t the 88 years old US company Opel (1929) rule the world in automobiles? Jaguar, Land Rover, Saab, Volvo all were at one-point US companies; it appears it is not about tariffs, it is about management, so fixing the educational system is better than tariffs. The same management should explain where are the Unimate robots, advanced tool machines in a country that invented CNC, nuclear reactors, particle accelerators and more; the simple explanation is Bretton Woods, the blessing and curse of the fiat reserve currency. All these tariffs and the Rest joining in trade agreement superseding WTO should have triggered a long time ago the critical question: will Bretton Woods last, as like NAFTA it is not eternal?! The Trump administration has been by far the most aligned with a very solid NATO, and we pay for it; it is as simple as that for anybody analyzing the real data. The War to End all Wars by ending the planet started in Sarajevo and continues apace. It will not be ignited again by Montenegro but by an incompetent US IT administrator (fix education!), at a nuclear plant, opening an email from a Prince from anywhere.
Concise article. Amerika has run out of $, Lost its ability to excercise her duties as an empire of years past. Relegated to begging from old friends, aka, “foes” to pay up, or else ❗️ Amerika’s decline has begun in earnest, as an empire cannot operate from deficits. Huge, unsustainable deficits.
It's a reality that President Trump has double rules in order to know the respect to the human rights in the countries around the world. It's clear that he ignored violations against the people of Russia, China, North Korea and Turkey, but unfortunately the little Caribbean Island of Cuba have been in his sights, he rebirth the tensions and the cold war against the Cuban people, because their predecessor Barack Obama (First Afro-American President of the U.S.A.) reopen the Diplomatic Relations and reduced the impact to the Embargo Commercial end Economic that have more 50 years against the development of the Cuban people. Iran was another good deal of former President Obama and 16 countries in order to maintain the control strict of the no proliferation of the destruction massive arms. President Trump since the first day in the White House he has been a hard work against the legacy of their predecessor Barack Obama, because he's a black man. Is it racism? I don't know, but it's similar. Thanks.
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