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  • China is Misread by Bulls and Bears Alike

    While China may experience a painful financial contraction as it increases private consumption, even a dramatic slowdown of Chinese growth will not prevent China’s share of global GDP from rising.

  • U.S.-Russia Balancing Act

    While Russian leaders support the idea of a world free of nuclear weapons in theory, the Russian security community is still committed to the principle of nuclear deterrence.

  • Europe’s Test—What Greece’s Debt Crisis Means for the World

    Greece’s economic imbalances are neither unprecedented nor — with help — unmanageable. Given the business, banking, and political interests in a positive outcome, Greece will either rescue itself, or be rescued.

  • Last Shot in Afghanistan

    The fundamental driving force of the insurgency is not economic or tribal but political, and long-term stability in Afghanistan depends on creating an open, transparent process to renegotiate the political structure of the nation in a way that includes the insurgency without betraying the Afghan people.

  • Obama Welcomes the Dalai Lama, Behind Closed Doors

    President Obama’s decision to meet with the Dalai Lama quietly is a recognition of the fact that almost every global issue requires cooperation between China and the United States, and some restraint must be shown on issues that China considers “core interests.”

  • Nuclear Weapons in Germany: Broaden and Deepen the Debate

    Recent arguments against a withdrawal of U.S. nuclear weapons from Germany are based on anachronistic perceptions regarding NATO’s nuclear weapons capacity, but bring up important points concerning broader implications for nuclear disarmament.

  • Boom or Bust for China’s Economy

    While China is likely to enjoy solid growth again this year, its policy solutions to achieve short-term economic objectives have made long-term rebalancing even more difficult.

  • Iran's Political Stock—A Short Sell

    On February 11, Iran will mark the 31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution with a resilient opposition movement, its population divided, and the threat of international sanctions.

  • Armenia and Turkey: The Truce in Need of a Rescue

    Armenia and Turkey have a chance to move forward from their troubled past by ratifying the historic protocols signed in October 2009. While the governments in both Yerevan and Ankara face strong opposition to the protocols, a failure to ratify the agreement could have disastrous consequences for the entire region.

  • A London Fog on Afghanistan

    The conference in London failed to suggest viable solutions to the real problems facing Afghanistan, including President Karzai’s lack of credibility, the prevalence of local corruption, and the fragmentation of power into the hands of armed local militias.

  • Yemen Faces Grave and Growing Domestic Challenges

    While growing Islamic extremism in Yemen is alarming, in the longer term it is the country’s domestic challenges that threaten to bring Yemen to its knees, with potentially destabilizing consequences for the region.

  • Russia 2009: Still Life with Crisis

    Russia's system of government administration is inefficient, unable to cope with both a transition of political power and the economic crisis at the same time. To ensure its own survival, the Russian regime must modernize itself.

  • One Year of Obama in the Middle East: Have Transatlantic Differences Narrowed?

    U.S. rhetoric has become more closely aligned with European positions on the Arab-Israeli peace process and democracy and human rights promotion in the Middle East, but there has not been a significant increase in transatlantic cooperation on these issues.

  • Invite the Taliban to the Afghanistan Conference

    At the international conference on Afghanistan in London, the international community should address the only issue that really matters for peace in Afghanistan: how to make the Taliban part of a lasting solution.

  • Guantanamo's Impact on U.S. National Security

    President Obama’s self-imposed deadline for closing the U.S. military detention facility in Guantanamo Bay has passed. It may take years to fully close the facility because the real problem is not only Guantanamo, but the entire U.S. detention policy.

  • (Re)Engaging Russia in an Era of Uncertainty

    Russian policy makers need to open space for public debate and engage in substantive discussions on critical global issues, and Western governments and institutions need to open the door to independent Russian voices.

  • Talking to Moscow

    Russian President Dmitry Medvedev's proposed European security treaty has its flaws, but it is a first step toward an important conversation that must take place if a viable and undivided Euro-Atlantic security space is to be created.

  • Toward a Stronger European Security Architecture

    • Igor Ivanov, Wolfgang Ischinger, Sam Nunn
    • December 09, 2009

    In response to the challenges facing the region, the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative—an international commission to build the intellectual framework for an inclusive transatlantic security system for the 21st century—has been launched.

  • The Last-chance Strategy

    The Obama administration announced its new Afghanistan strategy, which asks European allies to send as many as 5,000 extra combat troops in support of a war which more than two-thirds of the European public believe is already lost.

  • Europe: Losing and at a Loss?

    The European Union’s Afghanistan policies are the result of two different and contradictory constituencies: the transatlantic one, consisting of the United States and its European interests, and, on the other end of the spectrum, local party activists, who view Afghanistan as an unnecessary and dangerous war.

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