The chances of Britain crashing out of the EU without a deal have risen a little, the chances of a fresh referendum have risen a lot, and the chances of any kind of compromise have fallen.
President Trump’s vow to “devastate” the Turkish economy if Ankara attacks Kurdish forces in Syria marks another troubling development in the souring U.S.-Turkey relationship.
Abkhazia, Transdniestria, and northern Cyprus exist on maps but are not full nation states. Life goes on, but it is all a little more complicated than elsewhere in the world.
Governing populists overprioritize domestic politics, indulge in “undiplomatic” diplomacy, and yield to conspiracy theories. The implications for EU foreign policy cannot be underestimated.
Brexit is symptomatic of Europe’s inability to deal with the end of the post-1945 era.
NATO countries have been relegated to fretting and hedging their bets as long as Trump stays in the Oval Office.
The disruption caused by Britain failing to agree an orderly exit from the European Union is immense—and dangerous for the bloc’s future stability.
Few want the UK to crash out of the EU without a deal. After a tumultuous week for Theresa May, the chances have risen that Brexit won’t happen at all.
The next EP elections will likely end big party dominance and create genuine democratic space. But, ultimately, the functioning of the EU hinges on the success of the populist radical right.
The United Kingdom looks certain to remain in the EU at least into the summer of 2019—and, very possibly, indefinitely.
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