Carnegie Europe
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The temporary freezing of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s declining approval ratings will likely end when Ukraine begins to feel the coronavirus pandemic’s socioeconomic fallout.
Mass protests garner significant attention, but what happens next is just as vital for achieving real and lasting change.
The result of Ukraine's parliamentary election shows that the population wants to rebalance the country’s policy priorities and wants the new ruling elites to put citizens’ interests first.
A naval skirmish between Russia and Ukraine in the Sea of Azov further strains an already strung-out relationship. Ultimately, Moscow cannot afford to escalate the tensions—neither can Kyiv.
Reforms in Ukraine have taken a back seat during a protracted season of electoral politics. A key question is whether the rival factions can compete peacefully and avoid destabilizing the country again.
The EU’s external financing instruments should be improved to make the union’s civil society support efforts more politically effective and more closely aligned with strategic aims.
EU association deals with Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova have proven to be key drivers of reform in all three countries. The emphasis should now be on implementation, not simply legislative adoption.
President Poroshenko’s power consolidation—and pushback against it—is the hallmark of Ukrainian politics heading toward elections in 2019. Yet reform progress is being made, even if the pace remains slow.
In the past year, Ukraine’s reform progress slowed as the president consolidated power and key decentralization reforms met opposition in the parliament.
The biggest challenges facing Ukraine are its long-standing, systemic failures—a corrupt government and a political system dominated by big business.