Carnegie Europe
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While the coronavirus crisis has helped UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s approval rating, it hasn’t helped his party, and British voters are now losing faith in the government’s handling of it.
The new leader of the Labour Party has already established full control of his party. He now has the power to set its course for the next years—but he must deal with two urgent challenges first.
The Conservatives won the UK election convincingly. But beyond the bleeding obvious, there are five takeaways from the December 12 election.
Brexit has accelerated a massive change in British voting behavior, but not started it. For the Labour party, the 2019 UK election should mark the beginning of its own fundamental transition.
The UK prides itself on its special relationship with the United States, but the true extent of that is open to debate. So where will post-Brexit Britain stand in the mid-2020s when the dust has settled?
Calling an election once Brexit has happened would offer a huge advantage for Boris Johnson. Taking on a possibly revived Labour party would be more fruitful than going up against Nigel Farage.
By resigning as prime minister but remaining party leader, Theresa May could ease a transition—and maybe even end her party’s Brexit deadlock.
Whatever fate Brexit meets, Britain’s reputation for competent, pragmatic political stability—built up over centuries—is being trashed. It will take years, perhaps decades, to restore.
It is time for Britain to leave the European Union—with or without a deal. The EU, freed from British ambivalence, would force European leaders to decide their own destiny.
The recent Brexit developments plunge UK politics into crisis. While there’s a clear majority against the government’s plans, there’s no evident majority in favor of a specific alternative.