Kellner is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe, where his research focuses on Brexit, populism, and electoral democracy.
Peter Kellner is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe, where his research focuses on Brexit, populism, and electoral democracy.
Prior to joining Carnegie, Kellner was president of the online survey research company, YouGov, from 2007 to 2016, after serving as the organization’s chairman from 2001 to 2007. Previously, he consulted on public opinion research to a number of organizations, including the Bank of England, the Corporation of London, the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, the National Westminster Bank, and the Trades Union Congress.
Kellner has worked extensively as a British journalist. He has written for a variety of newspapers and magazines, including the Times, the Independent, the Observer, and the Evening Standard, and has been a regular contributor to television and radio programs, such as BBC Newsnight and Channel Four’s A Week in Politics. He was awarded Journalist of the Year at the British Press Awards in 1978.
He has been a visiting fellow at Nuffield College, Oxford; a distinguished visiting fellow at the Policy Studies Institute, London; and served as a member of committees set up by the Economic and Social Research Council to commission research into elections and social exclusion. He received a Special Recognition Award from the Political Studies Association in 2011.
Kellner is currently the chairman of the National Council for Voluntary Service (NCVO) and a trustee of UpRising, a charity that mentors young people.
The next ten days will bring to a head the Brexit drama. It has strained the UK’s constitution, threatened its social cohesion, terrified its businesses, appalled its friends, and delighted its enemies.
Britain’s reputation for competent, pragmatic political stability has been built up over centuries. It is now being trashed daily before our eyes.
The chances of Britain crashing out of the EU without a deal have risen a little, the chances of a fresh referendum have risen a lot, and the chances of any kind of compromise have fallen.
Few want the UK to crash out of the EU without a deal. After a tumultuous week for Theresa May, the chances have risen that Brexit won’t happen at all.
The chances of a new Brexit referendum sometime in 2019 are growing—as is the possibility that the UK will not, in the end, leave the EU at all.
Whatever happens in the next few weeks, implementing Brexit could make the UK a rule-taker, not a rule-maker, perhaps indefinitely.
The endgame in the Brexit negotiations has come down to a battle of nerve for the UK and the EU. Unless one side gives way, the chances of talks ending without a deal look high and rising.
To keep the majority of his supporters on side, UK Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn—a lifelong opponent of Brussels and all its works—might end up preventing the catastrophe of Brexit.
An eleventh-hour deal on the UK’s withdrawal from the EU might be hammered out by the end of the year. But the risks are rising that it won’t.
The clock for Brexit negotiations is running down. At some point soon, Theresa May needs to take a stand on the many serious issues that are dividing her party—and nowhere near being solved.